Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.007890 0.008866 0.009931 0.011184 0.012620 0.014218 0.016136
2025-02-09 0.006274 0.007582 0.009135 0.011125 0.013624 0.016678 0.020729
2025-02-16 0.005455 0.006916 0.008748 0.011235 0.014560 0.018902 0.025081
2025-02-23 0.004777 0.006287 0.008264 0.011075 0.015028 0.020474 0.028696
2025-03-02 0.004361 0.005929 0.008060 0.011218 0.015863 0.022581 0.033287
2025-03-09 0.003957 0.005532 0.007742 0.011135 0.016328 0.024168 0.037282
2025-03-16 0.003517 0.005031 0.007217 0.010675 0.016149 0.024726 0.039691
2025-03-23 0.003250 0.004755 0.006986 0.010621 0.016571 0.026244 0.043855
2025-03-30 0.003148 0.004714 0.007099 0.011105 0.017893 0.029369 0.051229
2025-04-06 0.002872 0.004379 0.006723 0.010756 0.017781 0.030030 0.054227
2025-04-13 0.002641 0.004094 0.006400 0.010457 0.017713 0.030744 0.057404
2025-04-20 0.002490 0.003927 0.006253 0.010442 0.018137 0.032387 0.062629
2025-04-27 0.002429 0.003909 0.006362 0.010903 0.019517 0.036073 0.072819
2025-05-04 0.002281 0.003732 0.006189 0.010845 0.019925 0.037945 0.079539
2025-05-11 0.002174 0.003618 0.006112 0.010952 0.020658 0.040562 0.088386
2025-05-18 0.002038 0.003442 0.005909 0.010796 0.020841 0.042042 0.094842
2025-05-25 0.001956 0.003355 0.005861 0.010935 0.021642 0.044958 0.105349
2025-06-01 0.001852 0.003220 0.005711 0.010855 0.021967 0.046856 0.113649
2025-06-08 0.001710 0.003005 0.005395 0.010407 0.021444 0.046728 0.116575
2025-06-15 0.001628 0.002897 0.005276 0.010355 0.021793 0.048708 0.125667
2025-06-22 0.001612 0.002913 0.005398 0.010825 0.023383 0.053940 0.145170
2025-06-29 0.001508 0.002752 0.005157 0.010486 0.023043 0.054273 0.150233
2025-07-06 0.001416 0.002610 0.004946 0.010196 0.022789 0.054797 0.156012